Ronny Sianturi
Pixar’s beloved animated franchise, Toy Story 5, has continued its dominant run at the global box office, surpassing the significant milestone of $300 million in domestic earnings. The latest installment, bolstered by the return of iconic voice actors Tom Hanks and Tim Allen, is projected to capture an estimated $72.5 million this weekend, securing its position as the weekend’s top earner. Meanwhile, Warner Bros.’ highly anticipated superhero film, Supergirl, is set to debut in second place with an estimated $40 million, facing a more tempered reception compared to its animated competitor.
Toy Story 5 Continues Its Animated Reign
Toy Story 5, directed by Andrew Stanton and co-directed by Kenna Harris, has proven to be a formidable force at the box office since its release. The film unboxed an impressive $21.5 million on Friday alone, building upon its monumental opening weekend. This latest installment, which marked 2026’s biggest opening to date with an astonishing $160 million, is now on track to reach a domestic cumulative gross of approximately $300 million following its second weekend. The film’s enduring appeal is largely attributed to its nostalgic pull, featuring the beloved voices of Tom Hanks as Woody and Tim Allen as Buzz Lightyear, alongside a new generation of characters and storylines.
The sequel is expected to experience a moderate drop of around 55 percent from its opening weekend, a common pattern for major franchise films. This slight decrease is not indicative of waning popularity but rather a natural adjustment after the initial surge of enthusiasm. The continued draw of Toy Story 5 highlights the franchise’s deep connection with audiences across multiple generations, a testament to Pixar’s consistent ability to craft emotionally resonant and visually stunning narratives. The film’s success also contributes significantly to Disney’s overall box office performance, as the studio has already surpassed the $3 billion mark globally for 2026, a feat achieved by no other studio to date.
Supergirl Faces a Mixed Debut Amidst DC’s Ambitious Slate
Warner Bros.’ Supergirl, starring Milly Alcock in the titular role, is poised to enter the box office at an estimated $40 million for the weekend. The film garnered $18 million on Friday, which included revenue from Thursday preview screenings. Directed by Craig Gillespie, Supergirl represents the second major cinematic release for DC Studios heads James Gunn and Peter Safran, following the global success of Superman last year, which grossed an impressive $618 million worldwide.
However, Supergirl‘s reception has been somewhat more subdued. The film received a B- CinemaScore from audiences, a grade lower than the A- score awarded to Superman. This indicates a less enthusiastic response from moviegoers, which could potentially impact its long-term box office performance. The film centers on Kara Zor-El, Superman’s cousin, and her journey, featuring a budget of $170 million, a figure considerably lower than Superman‘s $225 million expenditure.
The narrative of Supergirl delves into the origins of Kara Zor-El and her encounters with characters like Jason Momoa’s Lobo, further expanding the burgeoning DC Cinematic Universe. The film’s performance will be a crucial indicator of audience appetite for individual character-driven stories within the larger DC framework as Gunn and Safran continue to build their interconnected universe. Their upcoming projects include the body horror title Clayface, slated for October, starring Tom Rhys Harries, and the recently announced Superman reboot, which is expected to be a significant tentpole for the studio.
Jackass: Best and Last Aims for a Nostalgic Farewell
Paramount’s latest offering, Jackass: Best and Last, is projected to secure the fourth position at the box office, with an estimated domestic gross of just under $10 million. The film, directed by Jeff Tremaine and starring the long-standing ensemble led by Johnny Knoxville, is being billed as the fifth and purportedly final installment in the raucous franchise. It raked in approximately $4 million on Friday. With a modest budget of $10 million, the film is positioned for profitability even with its projected earnings.
The film appears to be a celebratory send-off for devoted Jackass fans, blending classic stunts with new, never-before-seen footage. This retrospective approach has resonated with the franchise’s dedicated fanbase, earning Best and Last an A- CinemaScore. This positive audience score suggests that the film successfully delivers the signature blend of outrageous stunts and comedic mayhem that fans have come to expect. For comparison, the previous installment, Jackass: Forever, opened to a stronger $23.1 million in February 2022, indicating that while Best and Last may not reach those heights, its success lies in providing a satisfying conclusion to a cultural phenomenon.
Obsession Continues Its Steady Climb, Disclosure Day Holds Ground
Focus Features’ horror film Obsession is demonstrating remarkable staying power in its seventh weekend. The film is anticipated to land in the third spot with an estimated $9.4 million for the frame, following a $2.9 million performance on Friday. With an expected decline of only 30 percent, director Curry Barker’s film is rapidly approaching the $250 million mark domestically, a significant achievement for a horror movie that initially premiered with modest expectations. The film’s sustained success points to strong word-of-mouth and an effective marketing campaign that has tapped into the genre’s enduring appeal.
Rounding out the top five is Universal’s Disclosure Day, directed by Steven Spielberg and starring Emily Blunt and Josh O’Connor. The UFO-themed film collected $2.3 million on Friday and is projected to gross $7.8 million over the weekend. This represents a 56 percent decline from the previous week, bringing its total domestic cume to an estimated $94 million. While the drop is substantial, the film’s performance has been solid, particularly given the competitive market. Spielberg’s continued ability to draw audiences to original concepts remains a significant factor in the industry.
A24 Ventures into Limited Release with The Invite
In a strategic move, A24 has launched Olivia Wilde’s relationship comedy, The Invite, in a limited release across seven screens this weekend, following its premiere at the Sundance Film Festival. The film, which boasts a cast including Wilde herself, Seth Rogen, Penélope Cruz, and Edward Norton, earned approximately $156,000 on Friday. This limited release strategy is common for A24, allowing them to build critical buzz and gauge audience interest before a wider rollout, a tactic that has historically proven successful for the independent studio known for its critically acclaimed and commercially viable films.
Disney’s Dominance and a Milestone for R-Rated Comedy
The robust performance of Toy Story 5 has not only solidified its individual success but has also propelled Disney to a significant industry milestone. The studio officially crossed the $3 billion mark in global box office revenue on Thursday, becoming the first studio in 2026 to achieve this impressive financial feat. This achievement underscores Disney’s unparalleled market share and its consistent delivery of blockbuster entertainment. The studio’s impressive slate for the year has included titles such as Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, The Devil Wears Prada 2, and Hoppers, with the live-action Moana anticipated to be a major draw next month.
Adding another noteworthy achievement to the week’s box office news, Paramount and Miramax’s Scary Movie has also reached a significant financial milestone, crossing $100 million at the domestic box office on Thursday. This makes it the first R-rated comedy to achieve this benchmark since the 2017 hit Girls Trip. The success of Scary Movie highlights a resurgence in the popularity of adult-oriented comedies and demonstrates the continued viability of the genre when executed effectively.
Box Office Projections and Industry Analysis
The current box office landscape paints a picture of strong franchise power, with established brands like Toy Story continuing to captivate audiences. Pixar’s consistent ability to deliver quality animated storytelling remains a cornerstone of Disney’s financial success. Meanwhile, the performance of Supergirl offers valuable insights into the challenges and opportunities facing the superhero genre and the ongoing efforts by DC Studios to revitalize its cinematic universe. While Supergirl‘s initial reception may not match the heights of Superman, its performance will be closely watched as a barometer for the studio’s future direction.
The inclusion of Jackass: Best and Last and Obsession in the top five further illustrates the diverse range of films currently drawing crowds. The enduring appeal of Jackass‘ unique brand of humor, coupled with the sustained interest in the horror genre, showcases the varied tastes of the movie-going public. The success of Obsession in particular, a testament to the power of strong critical reception and sustained audience engagement, provides a compelling case study in building long-term box office legs.
As the weekend unfolds, these figures will provide a clearer picture of consumer behavior and market trends. The dominance of family-friendly animation alongside the continued robust performance of genre films like horror suggests a healthy and varied cinematic marketplace. The ongoing competition and the unique successes of individual films underscore the dynamic nature of the film industry and its constant evolution in response to audience preferences and creative innovation. The coming weeks will reveal the full impact of these releases and set the stage for future box office battles.
